百分之一主义 The One Percent Doctrine

据说，美国前副总统切尼的的国安政策很简单：‘宁可杀错，不可放过；宁可信其有，不可信其无’。其背后的思维是： ‘不怕一万，只怕万一。’
对其采取强硬手段对付恐怖分子，切尼的解释是，只要恐怖事件有百分之一的机会发生，‘我们的反应就应该是坚定无疑的。’
这就提醒我们‘百分之一主义’，一本由记者萨斯金德所写并获得普利策奖的有关美国在911事件后追捕恐怖分子的非小说类的书。在2006年7月24日，这本书在纽约时报最畅销排名榜上排名第三。
‘百分之一主义’ （又称切尼主义）其实是源于2001年11月（日期不详）的一个会议中。当时中央情报局长向切尼及当时的国家安全顾问赖斯汇报时，对担心巴基斯坦科学家在911后为奥萨马的基地组织提供发展核武器援助的反应。
根据哪本书的说法，切尼这样形容布什政府对付恐怖主义的策略：
‘巴基斯坦科学家援助基地组织发展核武器之事，即使只有1％的可能性，我们也应把它当作确有其事来给予反击。这与我们的分析无关……这是我们的反击。’
这就令我们想到曹操在190误杀人后的名言：‘宁我负人，毋人负我！’
注：曹操 (155-220)为东汉末年掌握实权的丞相。死后追缢为魏武帝。
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It is said that the former Vice President Dick Cheney’s national security strategy is simple: ‘Better to be sure than sorry. Prepare for the worst, and hope for the best.’ And the thinking behind it is that ‘we don’t fear hard work, we just fear failure.’
The justification for taking a hawkish approach to terrorism was explained by Cheney that if a terrorist event had even a one percent chance of happening, ‘we have to treat it as a certainty in terms of our response.’
That brings us to the One Percent Doctrine, which is a nonfiction book by Pulitzer Prize winning journalist Ron Suskind about America's hunt for terrorists since September 11th. On July 24th, 2006, it reached number 3 on the New York Times Best Seller list.
The One Percent Doctrine (also called the Cheney doctrine) was actually created in November 2001 (no exact date is given) during a briefing given by then-CIA Director George Tenet to then-U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney and then-National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice in response to worries that a Pakistani scientist was offering nuclear weapons expertise to Al Qaeda after the September 11th, 2001 terrorist attack.
Accordingly to the book, this was how Vice President Dick Cheney described the Bush administration's doctrine on dealing with terrorism:
‘If there's a 1% chance that Pakistani scientists are helping al-Qaeda build or develop a nuclear weapon, we have to treat it as a certainty in terms of our response. It's not about our analysis ... It's about our response.’
This reminds us of the famous or infamous statement made by Cao Cao in 190, after he wrongly killed someone, ‘I'd rather betray others, than have others betray me.’
Note: Cao Cao (155-220) was a Prime Minister of the Eastern Han Dynasty who rose to great power during its final years in ancient China. He was posthumously titled Emperor Wu of Wei.